Miami, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

215
FXUS62 KMFL 270508
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
108 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Surface high pressure over the northern Gulf and upper level high
pressure over the SE US today will continue to gradually shift to
the west today and Monday. This will continue to keep plenty of dry
air across the region with PWAT values running well below normal.
The 00Z MFL sounding showed a PWAT value of only 1.14 inches.
Forecast soundings show gradual improvement to around 1.3-1.4 inches
today and then 1.5-1.7 inches on Monday. Today will be the last day
of Saharan dust influence before conditions begin to improve
starting on Monday. Expecting mainly dry conditions today with just
a slight chance of some late day showers or storms over SW FL along
the Gulf coast sea-breeze. High temps today will be in the low to
mid 90s across the east coast metro, and mid to upper 90s over
inland and SW FL. Despite the well above normal temps, lower than
normal dewpoints in the low 70s this afternoon will prevent heat
indices from reaching advisory criteria for the necessary duration.

As low level moisture starts to increase overnight, some coastal
showers will be possible towards Monday morning, otherwise dry
conditions expected for inland and SW FL. Low temps will range from
the lower 70s over inland South FL to upper 70s closer to the coast.

We`ll start to see a return to a more summer-like pattern on Monday
as moisture continues to slowly increase. While PWAT values will
remain below normal at least through the first part of the day,
expect scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop along the sea-
breezes during the afternoon into early evening. High temps will
remain hot with lower 90s over the east coast metro and mid to upper
90s over inland and SW FL. With dewpoints starting to creep up into
the mid and upper 70s, max heat indices of 105-110 are expected.
Will need to monitor closely over the next day to see if headlines
will be needed.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2025

A weak mid level trough and upper level TUTT will move across the
Caribbean on Tuesday and Wednesday. This will have a peripheral
impact on South FL, mainly continuing to increase PWAT values to
near or slightly above climatological norms. These features will
move off to the west and then upper level high pressure builds into
the western Atlantic for the end of the upcoming week and into the
beginning of next weekend reinforcing the low level E/SE flow and
keeping moisture levels at or slightly above normal. Convection each
day will primarily follow a typical summertime pattern, with PoPs
increasing during the afternoon and early evening hours along the
sea-breezes and favoring inland and SW FL, and coastal showers
possible during the overnight hours each day.

Temperatures through the week and into the beginning of next weekend
will remain above normal with highs in the lower 90s across the east
coast metro, and mid/upper 90s over inland and SW FL. Max heat
indices will linger near advisory criteria each day, especially in
Miami-Dade, Broward, and Collier counties. Low temps each night will
be in the mid to upper 70s, and around 80 near the Atlantic coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2025

VFR to start the 06Z TAF period. Light NE winds this morning
increase to around 10 kts after 15Z. A mid afternoon Gulf breeze
is likely at APF. An isolated late day thunderstorm is possible at
APF, while the east coast terminals should remain dry.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 105 AM EDT Sun Jul 27 2025

Gentle NE flow expected today shifting to an easterly flow on
Monday. Seas in both the Atlantic and Gulf waters will be 2 ft or
less. An isolated thunderstorm is possible today with scattered
storms possible on Monday which may result in locally higher winds
and seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            92  79  92  79 /  10  20  20  10
West Kendall     93  76  93  76 /  10  10  20  10
Opa-Locka        94  78  94  79 /  10  20  20  10
Homestead        91  78  91  78 /  10  20  20  10
Fort Lauderdale  91  79  91  79 /  10  20  20  10
N Ft Lauderdale  92  79  92  79 /  10  20  20  10
Pembroke Pines   95  81  95  81 /  10  20  20  10
West Palm Beach  92  78  92  78 /  10   0  10  10
Boca Raton       93  78  93  78 /  10  10  10  10
Naples           95  78  95  79 /  20  10  30  20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...CMF